Trudeau Liberals and leaderless Conservatives neck and neck in new poll amid WE Scandal

According to this Ipsos poll, The two most popular parties in Canada; the Liberal Party and the Progressive Conservative Party, have now entered into a statistical dead heat.

This is almost certainly due to the recent resignation of the Minister of Finance, Bill Morneau, and there is a strong possibility that, as the scandal that led to his resignation deepens, the Liberals under Trudeau may lose even more ground. Quebec voters also appear to have shifted from the Liberals to the Bloc.

There is also a possibility that the Tories will gain some ground after the weekend, as they have yet to name a party leader, with the winner set to be announced this Sunday.

Older voters tended to support the Conservatives, and other left-of-center options such as the NDP and the Greens. Support for the Bloc also increases sharply with age, going from 3 percent in Generation Z to 8 percent in the Baby Boomer generation.

An overall majority of Canadians felt that the WE scandal was an indication that the Trudeau Liberal party is corrupt and needs to be defeated in the next election. 56% of those polled said that they agreed with the aboved, with 25% agreeing strongly.

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between August 17th and 18th, 2020, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 2000 Canadians aged 18+ was interviewed online. Half of the interviews were conducted prior to the resignation of Bill Morneau, while half were conducted afterwards. Quotas and weighting were employed to ensure that the sample’s composition reflects that of the Canadian population according to census parameters. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians aged 18+ been polled for the full sample, or ± 3.5 percentage points for the “before” and “after” samples individually. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.